References

Master plan for Guadeloupe secondary schools

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  • Client: Conseil Général de Guadeloupe (Guadeloupe local council)

  • Duration: 2012-2016

  • Key figures: 41 secondary schools with 23,090 pupils (2014 numbers)

The Context

As part of its seismic plan, the local council requested assistance with the decision-making process regarding the future of its 41 secondary schools, on the basis of objective criteria and in line with the demographic projections for 2025.

Supporting the decision-making process

Our study provides a snapshot of the multiple issues that form part of the matching process between secondary school place offer and the needs of the population, in terms of intake capacity. It highlighted the demographic threshold Guadeloupe is faced with: the population slowly declines and its ageing intensifies the decrease in the number of secondary school pupils, something that our study had already anticipated.

Menighetti Programmation contributed to directing the client's strategy towards optimising the secondary school place offer in accordance with future needs rather than keeping it stable or raising it.

The Programme

Phase 1: Assessment
    Assessing the intake capacity of secondary schools with respect to the number of classrooms and then assigning the intake capacity to the school buildings, which are sorted out according to their seismic vulnerability
    • Assessing the progress in the urban and territorial organisation of the archipelago of Guadeloupe and of the major towns and conurbations of the Grande-Terre and Basse-Terre islands.
    • Assessing the demographic data and the numbers of pupils in general, and of secondary school pupils in particular. Highlighting the changes to the demographic structure and to the distribution of pupils in general, and secondary school pupils in particular over the territory.
Phase 2: Demographic projections
      • Formulating hypotheses on demographic trends in the various towns of the archipelago and on their impact on the future enrollment in secondary school.
      • Analysing the futur needs of each secondary school and highlighting both the excess capacity across Guadeloupe and the sharp contrasts between some municipalities within the main conurbation.
Phase 3: Adjustment scenarios 
    Scenarios on the evolving intake capacities of each single college and area on the basis of the future enrollment, school accessibility and vulnerability to seismic risks:
    • Limiting the capacity of some schools
    • Suggesting the closure of some schools and the readjustment of school sectors
    • Increasing the capacity and suggesting the opening of new schools in the fast-growing sectors.